cephyn.com
cephyn.comments
These current primaries are an excellent example of how broken the US voting system is. On the Democrat side, the biggest factor in Hillary’s “inevitability” is that her opposition is fractured. As the early frontrunner, right away her competitors positioned themselves as Anti-Hillary. But because there are (now, still) two opposition candidates, the Anti-Hillary vote […]
How’s that for news you aren’t hearing? But it’s absolutely true. Sure, Hillary did win the Nevada popular vote over Obama, 51%-45%. However - Obama won Nevada. Thanks to a quirk of math, Obama took home 13 NV delegates, and Hillary only got 12. Last time something like this happened, it went all the way […]
Hillary Clinton will win Michigan by a landslide. You can take that one to the bank.
What you can also take to the bank is that it won’t affect her delegate total at all. Currently, she leads Obama 183-78. And after Michigan it will be the same. And as for her “shocking” victory in New Hampshire, […]
Obama won the Iowa caucus, which brought him slightly closer to catching Hillary for the Democrat nomination.
Wait, what? Catch Hillary? Yeah. Once again, the media is blowing Iowa WAY out of proportion and completely ignoring how the nomination process works. First off - Obama’s win wasn’t as huge as the media would like you to […]
The Iowa Caucus, as a predictive tool, is pretty much worthless. They’ve chosen the president correctly (in a contested race) only twice - Jimmy Carter and George W. Bush. Bill Clinton only got about 3% in 1992. Iowa is barely worth anything in the total delegate count - as well it should be, since it’s […]
The TSA is good for nothing. Totally worthless. A complete waste of whatever money is put into it. There is simply no doubt in my mind.
If you pay attention to the reports, the TSA fails repeatedly on pretty much every test given to it. They missed 90% of explosive devices at a recent test at […]
One of the biggest problems in getting people to understand things is that people are just unable to grasp and process complicated datasets. The world is a complicated place, and sometimes the answers to questions are anything but easy. Presenting data is one of the most crucial functions a statistician must learn - and it’s […]
Some quick hit thoughts and links for a rainy Tuesday here:
Ron Paul (who I am not fond of) invokes on of my favorite Sinclair Lewis quotes (”When fascism comes to America it will be wrapped in the flag and carrying a cross.”) to discuss Mike Huckabee’s latest campaign commercial. The Fox News show host nearly […]
…gay marriage will be the one to destroy the sanctity of the institution.
Can we put that one to rest please?
My blog, and yeah, I’m pissed. The more I think about the things Romney said, the more angry I get. It’s no surprise he gave his speech at the George H.W. Bush library - the library of a man who once said, “No, I don’t know that atheists should be considered as citizens, nor should […]
fueled with wordpress design by tristar web design ported by amos moses griffin icons from iconkits
